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by Paul Kennedy

Download Preparing For The Twenty-first Century eBook
ISBN:
0002157055
Author:
Paul Kennedy
Category:
Politics & Government
Language:
English
Publisher:
Random House (1993)
Pages:
416 pages
EPUB book:
1231 kb
FB2 book:
1468 kb
DJVU:
1186 kb
Other formats
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Rating:
4.1
Votes:
775


Paul Kennedy is truly brilliant in providing a synthesis of the major trends of the current World. I read this book 10 years back, re-read it, and found it to be an excellent companion to discern the mega-trends

Paul Kennedy is truly brilliant in providing a synthesis of the major trends of the current World. I read this book 10 years back, re-read it, and found it to be an excellent companion to discern the mega-trends. Kennedy talks about 3 key trends - Demographic shifts, Economic Aspirations and Ecology. Developed countries are aging and developing countries are becoming younger.

Библиографические данные. Preparing for the Twenty-First Century. Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group, 2011.

An excellent book from 1993, which provides a more or less framework of issues that Paul Kennedy predicted, based on heavy data, to be worrisome in the 21st century.

Nov 04, 2019 Murilo rated it really liked it. An excellent book from 1993, which provides a more or less framework of issues that Paul Kennedy predicted, based on heavy data, to be worrisome in the 21st century. All of these topics are heavily debated and poses a real challenge in our modern days.

People Who Read Preparing for the Twenty-First Century Also Read. The New York Times Required reading for anyone who wants to take measure of the 21st-century realities. Inspired by Your Browsing History. Looking for More Great Reads? Discover Book Picks from the CEO of Penguin Random House US. Close. Download Hi Res. Category: Domestic Politics.

Электронная книга "Preparing for the Twenty-First Century", Paul Kennedy

Электронная книга "Preparing for the Twenty-First Century", Paul Kennedy. Эту книгу можно прочитать в Google Play Книгах на компьютере, а также на устройствах Android и iOS. Выделяйте текст, добавляйте закладки и делайте заметки, скачав книгу "Preparing for the Twenty-First Century" для чтения в офлайн-режиме.

Preparing for the Twenty-First Century is an obvious attempt to repeat that performance

Preparing for the Twenty-First Century is an obvious attempt to repeat that performance. Again this is big history, anatomising the condition of the entire globe, and again it has the soothsaying frisson. What the new work glaringly lacks, however, is an angle. The first part of the book is a careful run-through of these developments, and Kennedy then moves on to specific national case studies, again carefully balanced, but at least here providing the occasional gleam of dramatic effect. On the bleak subject of Africa, for example, we learn the startling fact that the total GDP of the sub-Saharan nations' 450 million people is less than that of Belgium's 11 million.

Paul Kennedy's "Preparing for the Twenty-First Century" is an intellectual look at global trends ranging from global warming to the scientific breakthroughs in biotechnology and robotics. He begins his analysis by discussing one of the world's greatest challenges today - population growth.

Dive deep into Paul Kennedy's Preparing for the Twenty-first Century with extended analysis . XL, May 13, 1993, . 0.

Paul Kennedy makes a strong case for the increasing interdependence of nations, arguing that technology and customs have reduced nations’ abilities to insulate themselves from world affairs should they so desire. Thus the hunger and overpopulation of less-developed countries becomes a world problem, just as do the resource exhaustion and pollution of the developed world. XCVIII, February 14, 1993, .

This is exactly the question that preoccupies Paul Kennedy in preparing fm the twenty-first century

This is exactly the question that preoccupies Paul Kennedy in preparing fm the twenty-first century. Kennedy, an English-born professor of history at Yale, is the author of the influential 1987 book, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. The present book stems from a Brookings Institution debate over the previous one, during which Kennedy was challenged to write not about the nation-state in particular, but about the transnational challenges facing the world as a whole

One of the great gifts of Paul Kennedy is perspective Библиографические данные.

One of the great gifts of Paul Kennedy is perspective. He takes you up and lets you look at things from a distance, putting them in perspective. So it was with great anticipation that I read this book. Библиографические данные.

Very good.
  • Sha
Kennedy's careful and insightful analysis of various regions of the world and their outlooks for the 21st century is a "must" read for anyone who cares for the future of this country or, indeed, the world -- and, I hope, this includes our lawmakers and President. He identifies population growth as the common driver of the issues facing virtually every region. His forecast for the future of the US is not encouraging. It is regrettable, however, that the author did not include a two-dimensional spreadsheet comparing the regions on all the parameters he identifies. While written in 1993, the forecasts are so accurate that one might think it was written last year.
  • Fomand
A great book that needs to be read by every American.
  • WUNDERKIND
Paul Kennedy is truly brilliant in providing a synthesis of the major trends of the current World. I read this book 10 years back, re-read it, and found it to be an excellent companion to discern the mega-trends.

Kennedy talks about 3 key trends - Demographic shifts, Economic Aspirations and Ecology.

Developed countries are aging and developing countries are becoming younger. This demographic shift should lead to a need for shifting productive people to the developed economies. With the spread of communication, the poor in developing countries have higher economic aspirations. So they want to shift to richer countries, more than before. As Kennedy points out, the only hitch is resistance to immigration.

And it is interesting to see how the World solved this problem through fiber optic cables. So the developed World now has remote workers. And even Kennedy could not have foreseen that.

The other issue he talks about is not so easy to solve. He forecasts that economic growth aspirations will lead an ecological challenge. The emerging 'energy wars', and the consequence of industrial development in China and India are bringing us face to face with the challenges that Kennedy anticipated. So, the choice is to deny the developing countries the prosperity that the rich countries enjoy, or risk the World blowing up - ecologically. And who can decide. Such is the dilemma posed by Paul Kennedy's brilliant analysis.

A true historian and a forecaster.
  • Kabei
One of the great gifts of Paul Kennedy is perspective. He takes you up and lets you look at things from a distance, putting them in perspective. So it was with great anticipation that I read this book in 2010, predicting 2025 from the vantage point of 1990.

He gets a lot right, and is only way off on a few things. There is an (in retrospect) annoying focus on robotics, which was very big in the eighties. Kennedy takes that and projects it to 2025 as if robots would be the measure of any industrial society. I don't think he goes five pages without using the word. Well, it hasn't turned out that way. For one thing, assembly lines and packaging machines have simply become far more sophisticated, so instead of programmable robot arms, we get entire systems in a room.

On the other hand, the anticipation of methane being released from Siberian permafrost, the rising of the oceans, the killing off of various species and inconvenient climate change is well underway as predicted. No one has the right to be taken by surprise.

I learned a great deal from this book, as I do from everything Kennedy writes. Worth the trip.
  • August
Despite being nearly 15 years old, this book hits a lot of the key points on the money.

No, Kennedy didn't know in 1993 how bad global warming might be, nor how strong Islamic fanaticism might become, nor how much rich-poor gaps, both North-South and within some countries like the U.S., might become.

But, that these issues, along with demographics and non-warming environmental issues, would be the touchstones for individual countries, and the world as a whole, he was right on the money.

I think Kennedy could well serve the public by coming out with a revised edition to reflect further knowledge and offer further prognostications.
  • Felolak
It is thirteen years since Kennedy wrote this book. I read it with the idea in mind of comparing his sense of what would be with what there is now. He misses so much, including the worldwide clash of civilizations in which radical Islam has launched a terror war against the West. He does not really focus on the whole 'Eurabia ' phenomenom though he does see how declining birth- rates in advanced countries may jeopardize their future.

Demographically, he does not see how the 'population explosion' has turned into the 'birth dearth'. And he does not give real attention to the ' greying of mankind as a whole'. It is not simply the first world which will be facing these problems but China too will have a 'massive greying' in the years ahead.

He too does not focus on many of the biotechnological changes which are raising questions about the fundamental meaning of our humanity.

He does once again speak about the US' loss of manufacturing power, the deficit the likelihood of its decline.

He does too warn about environmental problems which no doubt are serious and real.

He is not to blame of course for not seeing some of the most important developments of the past thirteen years.. No one can y see the future which always offers surprises.

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